Tuesday, June 28, 2011

Timing & Risk! Risk! Risk!

Equity & Property investment is all about Timing! Timing! & Timing!

The timing for equity investment now is bad. The chances for winning is so low that investor should just forget about shares now. Better to enjoy Movie/TV, traveling or Reading.

The risk is much higher now, you have global financial problem to worry like Euro zone & US debts problem.

You have property burble in HK & China to worry.

In Malaysia, the investment risk is not much better, due to political fights between PKR & UMNO & Economy slowing down in 2012-2013.

Now we have witness how the entire Govt mobilize the forces to attack the organiser of 'Bersih 2.0', this political drama & HEAT between UMNO & Pakatan Rakyat will get worsen when the next 'General Election' just around the corner, by this YEAR END.

4 comments:

Samgoss said...

Hi SS ,

U might be right if one use fund allocation 4 shares investment like me , put small when mr mkt is not there n add more when mkt comes back but....no one can predict d mkt correctly ! NO ONE !

Below was what commented by Mr cold eyes >

四十年的投资经验告诉我:要准确地预测股市何时跌到底,是不可能的。
因为股市是不可预测的。
最有成就的投资家,没有一个是靠预测“时机”(Timing)而成功的。
我认为“可以买进了”,并非我有预测股市动向的能力。
我没有这种“先知”的能力,我也不认为有谁有这种能力。
即使是最成功的投资家和经济学家,也没有这种能力,何况是平凡的我们。
我认为可以买进的理由是:
许多股票已很便宜了,值得买进作为长期投资了。
我强调“长期”,是因为经验告诉我:股票投资不能靠“短期”赚钱。
买进价值被低估,前景不错的股票,长期持有,是最稳当的赚钱途径。
赚大钱需长期投资
诸位不可立志赚快钱,却不可不立志赚大钱。
赚大钱非长期投资不可。
股票惟有价值被低估时才可以买进。

tak ada akal method always stress on timing ! 因为股市是不可预测的。
最有成就的投资家,没有一个是靠预测“时机”(Timing)而成功的。

That's y warren buffet said ta is useless ? click here >

http://www.epinions.com/finc-review-1935-D65AB19-38EAE41E-prod2

Frederick said...

We still have quite a ways to go before we hit the former stock market highs of 2007. I think we will reach those in 2012 because it is a US presidential election year. Obama wants 4 more years.

My Views said...

"In Malaysia, the investment risk is not much better, due to political fights between PKR & UMNO & Economy slowing down in 2012-2013."
---
I guess the investment community are mature enough to digest the political issue, moreover once have to understand that the economic getting worse is not because of fighting but rather its non fighting that scary...die in silence...

Drashti Saxena said...

Nice Article, Thanx for giving me a wonderful information!!!!!!!!!!
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